How To Try To Forecast Mortgage Rates

Aug 26

How To Try To Forecast Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates significantly affect the amount that a property buyer will pay over the life of the mortgage. These rates also influence monthly payments, so it is important for buyers to be knowledgeable about current and future rates when they are determining when to make a purchase.

Methods of Forecasting Mortgage Rates

Buyers can use the methods outlined below to predict how mortgage rates will change.

• Evaluating Historical Data

This is the most common method of determining how mortgage rates will change in the near future. Trends in interest rates give borrowers an accurate picture of where these rates are headed. However, it is important to realise that any major events that impact the economy could cause substantial changes in rates that cannot be predicted through the evaluation of historical rate data.

• Evaluating Major Economic Factors

Economists use historical data to determine how interest rates are likely to change, but there are other factors that go into evaluating likely changes. The health of the housing market has a major impact on mortgage rates. Professionals who have an inside look at economic factors are better able to determine whether an outside force will cause rates to change.

• Personal Rate Changes

There are personal factors that influence the rate that will actually be offered to an individual buyer. For example, credit history plays a big role in financing rates. People who have poor credit history can expect to pay a significantly higher rate on their mortgage, and this higher rate will raise the amount that is paid each month. Other factors that influence mortgage rates include the type of property that is being purchased and the region in which the property is located.

Limitations of Forecasting Methods

While there are ways that property buyers can try to determine how mortgage rates will differ in the future, these methods are not foolproof. The market is volatile, and it is always possible for unexpected events that impact the economy to occur. Economists are able to accurately predict changes in rates under optimal circumstances, but these conditions do not always apply.

Anyone who is thinking about making a property purchase should start preparing by evaluating trends in the real estate market. Determining how mortgage rates are likely to change is an effective way to get started, but it is important for buyers to understand that these predictions may not be completely accurate.